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Am I Overtraining? The Early Warning Signs

Overtraining creeps up slowly. Here are the early signals — and why your training-load numbers often miss them until it's too late.

Last updated: Jun 2026

Overtraining rarely arrives as a dramatic crash. It creeps in slowly: your numbers start sliding, you respond by training harder, and the hole gets deeper — until performance falls off a cliff and you get sick. The good news is the early signs are recognizable once you know what to look for.

The pattern

The classic story goes like this: results start heading the wrong way, so you add more hard work; fatigue builds faster than you recover; and eventually you're getting dropped on rides that used to feel easy. By the time it's obvious, you've usually been over-reaching for weeks.

Early warning signs

Resting heart rate creeping up — even a few beats above normal, for several days.
Heart rate variability dropping — often the earliest signal, days before you feel ill.
Motivation inversion — no appetite for easy rides, only a craving to go hard. Subtle, but telling.
Heavy legs and flat power — the same effort costs more and delivers less.
Getting sick — repeated colds or niggling illness is the body waving a flag.

Why the numbers can miss it

Training-load numbers are useful, but on their own they often miss over-reaching. One common trap: if your FTP is set too high, every ride looks easier than it really was — so your load scores stay low while you're actually overdoing it.

That's why the most reliable early signals are your body and your feel: resting heart rate, heart rate variability, sleep, mood, and honest perceived effort. When those drift the wrong way while your load looks "fine," trust the body.

What to do

Don't answer a bad patch with more intensity. Take a few genuinely easy days or a recovery week, prioritise sleep and food, and make sure your FTP is current so your zones tell the truth. Recovery is where fitness is actually built — backing off early is far cheaper than digging out of a deep hole later.